Feedback Control and the Economy

Exquisite control of systems is possible through correct use of feedback control. But awareness of the limitations of the model you use is necessary to make correct use of it, [more]

Local vs global

There are very large and important differences between local and global statistics. Differences we cannot afford to overlook. [more]

Of Goose, Gander, and Godwin

Heartland's defense of their billboards did more damage than the billboards themselves because they revealed the bizarre thinking behind them for all to see. But emotionally laden comparisons generally tend to backfire on whoever uses them. [more]

My Little World

Your per capita fraction of the arable land on earth is about an acre, which must sustain you and your descendants forever. [more]

The muzzling of Canada’s scientists

If Journalists would just stop asking questions, the government wouldn't have to stop the scientists from answering. Better yet, if the scientists would stop doing science there would be nothing to ask them about. And if mother nature would stop being such a drama queen in the first place we wouldn't have to worry about any of this. [more]

Economics and Climatology

Economics poses as a pure science when it is actually best construed as a particularly crude form of engineering. We should not be predicting what we do. We should be deciding what we do, and using economics as a tool to get us to the future that we choose. [more]

Facing up to Phosphorus

We can’t live without this essential element—yet at the same time we’re having an increasingly hard time living with it. What in the world are we going to do? [more]

Disequilibrium is not Your Friend

We may have had only one degree of warming in the global mean, but that doesn't mean that severe warm outliers "would have occurred" otherwise. Many attempts by prominent meteorologists to attribute proportions of blame for individual severe events to "natural variability" and "anthropogenic influence" yield relatively modest cause for concern, but are based on an unjustifiable simplification. New results make it easier to understand why their reassurances are wrong. [more]

The Inescapable Implication of Uncertainty

[This article original appeared on Shaping Tomorrow's World, author retains copyright] By Stephan Lewandowsky Winthrop Professor and Australian Professorial Fellow, School of Psychology, University of Western Australia Original posted on 26 March 2012 In a previous post, we saw that uncertainty is not your friend. In a nutshell, if there is uncertainty, things could be worse than anticipated as well as better. [more]

Cassandra Science at Planet under Pressure

The insights gained from an understanding of earth system science may tempt scientists to play the role of Cassandra, the ancient Greek beauty who was granted the gift of prophecy, but who was cursed so that nobody would believe her. [more]

What Just Happened

A recent increase in jet stream blocking is leading to an increase of "stickiness" of weather, which helps neither the sunny places nor the wet ones. The recent warmth in the midwest is an example. This was not predicted by climate science, illustrating the maxim that uncertainty is not your friend. [more]

Economic growth and sustainability question

If people believe that sustainability and economic growth are incompatible then why would their place their bets with economic growth? [more]

The Old Switcheroo

The documentary Switch would be an admirable overview of the energy problem, except for the small detail it leaves out - that net carbon emissions need to go to zero as soon as possible. [more]

Mike Mann Article

Mike Mann has an excellent brief summary of the "hockey stick" controversy up on the CNN site. Nothing new to our regulars, I suppose, but worth bookmarking so you can show it to your friends and acquaintances. [more]

Beyond Planet Three

Speaking of economics, here is a longish article at Imaginative Conservative that argues against a scientific model of economics. I find it thought provoking.  Insofar as they are trying to make room for human ethics in economic thinking, this is helpful.

This is not the first time I’ve been astonished to like something at that site.

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New 3-ball logo

Now with more globe-y-goodness

Isn’t it pretty? This new fancy 3-ball was created by Ali Lupu. Go check out his other work and while you are over at his place tell him to hurry up and release his amazingly illustrated children’s book!

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Another fine piece from the Ottawa Citizen, this one by Graham Thompson, examines the connection between enormous wildfires and climate change. [more]

397

CO2 concentration closes in on 400 ppmv, which will almost certainly be hit in 2013 or 2014. [more]

Krugman’s observation on this comparison is too brief to quote without running up against NYTimes intellectual property. But you should read it.

 

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Climate change and rising population threatens Southern Ethiopia

The Ottawa Citizen reports: A vortex [sic] of population growth, land scarcity and a changing climate has wrenched Shashemene and much of densely populated south-central Ethiopia from an area that produced food surpluses less than a decade ago to a place where food aid is regularly needed. [more]

If you put all the water on Earth in one place

If you put all the water on Earth in one place it would look like this:

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Apropos our economics vs climatology thread, Jim Manzi has an extremely interesting article comparing economics to other sciences. [more]

Canada has no real plan to meet its stated 2020 GHG emissions goals, and has no idea how much its hodgepodge of sector specific regulations will cost.

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Suzanne Goldenberg at the Guardian reports on a memo shared among various think tanks and quasi-charities which "advises using "subversion" to build a national movement of wind farm protesters. UPDATED: Reflections on reading the memo. [more]

Evan Lehmann of E&E News has the back story on Heartland's relationship to the insurance industry: "Heartland faces a mutiny amid furor over billboard campaign". [more]

In an encouraging development, State Farm gets the memo and drops funding for the Heartland Institute in the wake of their astoundingly and foolishly revealing Unabomber billboard campaign. [more]