In case this doesn’t pass moderation there:
This article conflates the uncertainty in the projected mean warming with the interannual variability. The correct figure to compare the actual trajectory to is this one:
It is certainly not at all *excluded* from the data that the warming is turning out to be slower than expected. My own suggestion is that faster than expected ice melt might be implicated. That seems *far* more likely than that the greenhouse perturbation is having a small effect. Regardless, it is too soon to refute the current generation of GCMs from the trajectory to date, and the figures Scafetta uses are in that regard quite misleading.