Basically, when somebody posts an article claiming that someone else is incompetent, they really ought to mind their P’s and Q’s.
So here’s an article where Steven Goddard accuses Jeff Masters of incompetence, and to prove it, provides an analysis which I find interesting.
I would like to offer this up as an exercise for the reader. Whether anomalously warm days are increasing in DC is not at issue here. I think the points do call that into question, though it would help if he, you know, showed us the data and the code.
Never mind that. What I’d like to call your attention to is the red line.
Three (3) Planet Points will be awarded to the best description of what the line means. Published scientists are not eligible.
So. Look carefully. What is the red line actually saying? Goddard asserts that ” it is quite clear that the number of warm March days has decreased as atmospheric CO2 has increased”. But is that what the red line tells us?
By the way, you may be interested to know that there are two 81s and an 82 already registered in March of this year and an 83 predicted for Thursday. How would those four points affect the red line had Goddard had the kindness to include them?
Also, this red line technique seems to be common practice at Goddard’s. I wonder if anyone has ever, um, considered whether it made any sense?
Call for Dr. Dunning or Dr. Kruger… Incoming call for Dunning and Kruger!