Despite near-neutral ENSO conditions, the seasonal outlook for Thailand is rather bizarre, according to a correspondent, who points to this article in the Bangkok Post:
Unusually heavy rainfall will continue across the country well into this winter, the Thai Meteorological Department says.
Unlike typical weather patterns in the past, high pressure fronts from China have not been moving into Thailand, said a senior official at the department.
Weather this winter looks like it will be more affected by low pressure fronts from the southern part of the country, resulting in severe rainfall, she said.
Bangkok on Wednesday suffered heavy downpours in many areas.
Several provinces in the South and Central Plains have also experienced heavy rains recently.
The unusually heavy rain “is not a result of El Nino or La Nina”, the official said, adding that it will probably continue well into the winter, with especially strong downpours in December.
“The [rain] levels will gradually reduce but will still remain above the seasonal average … over the past 30 years,” she added.
Texas remains warmer and drier than is typical for this time of year but nothing to write home about as yet. But the AGU meeting in San Francisco looks likely to get drenched and just a bit further north the flooding potential looks serious.
How is the winter shaping up where you are? Anything weird?