Our decision-making under the influence of science comes back to the question of how much we should trust models. There is no easy general answer. But among the many ways this demonstration is interesting, it makes it very clear that some models are extremely trustworthy. On the other hand, obviously some models are useless. So there must be a continuum.
Michael Tobis, editor-in-chief of Planet3.0 and site cofounder, has always been interested in the interface between science and public policy. He holds a doctorate from the University of Wisconsin - Madison in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences where he developed a 3-D ocean model on a custom computing platform. He has been involved in sustainability conversations on the internet since 1992, has been a web software developer since 2000, and has been posting sustainability articles on the web since 2007.