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  • Projections of climate change by the IPCC are deeply skeptical, and there is no attempt to hide the large uncertainty of climate forecasts. … Ironically, those labeled “skeptics” by the media are not in fact skeptical; they are, on the contrary, quite sure that there is no risk going forward. Meanwhile, those interested in treating the issue as an objective problem in risk assessment and management are labeled “alarmists”, a particularly infantile smear considering what is at stake.Kerry Emanuel


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  • Summer Open Thread

    Anything goes. Suggested topic: if energy storage prices come down far enough, is carbon-fueled electricity a dead business model?

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  • Net Global Radiative Imbalance

    Improvements in characterizing global interannual variation and trend in global heat flux.

    Yes there probably is an upward trend. There is substantial uncertainty in the vertical axis offset, though it probably is warming.

    And yes, El Nino years are cooling years. Does this surprise you?

    Screen Shot 2014-08-10 at 6.47.38 PM

    Allan, R. P., C. Liu, N. G. Loeb, M. D. Palmer, M. Roberts, D. Smith, and P.-L. Vidale (2014), Changes in global net radiative imbalance 1985–2012, Geophys. Res. Lett., 41

    DOI: 10.1002/2014GL060962

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