Some Models Are More True than Others

Our decision-making under the influence of science comes back to the question of how much we should trust models. There is no easy general answer. But among the many ways this demonstration is interesting, it makes it very clear that some models are extremely trustworthy. On the other hand, obviously some models are useless. So there must be a continuum.

It’s Existential

Just another climate rant. “It’s like watching space Nazis launch asteroids at us and the mainstream media talks exasperatedly about ‘those space Nazi people’ who are so quaintly concerned that we are all going to be vaporized in a giant fiery cataclysm while our top political leaders argue about who is more pro-asteroid.”

A Hell of a Way to Run a Planet

“We reached the old wolf in time to watch a fierce green fire dying in her eyes. I realized then, and have known ever since, that there was something new to me in those eyes—something known only to her and to the mountain. I was young then, and full of trigger-itch; I thought that because fewer wolves meant more deer, that no wolves would mean hunters’ paradise. But after seeing the green fire die, I sensed that neither the wolf nor the mountain agreed with such a view.”

– Aldo Leopold, A Sand County Almanac, 1949

h/t Joe Romm